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Red94
109920.7
23045.3
99928.9
Blue43
112410.2
634610.9
206417.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724002060801001209443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
45.33.4
29.733.1
Auto13.2
Teleop25.4
End6.7
red by 27.5
2064
#24
17.80.1
15.015.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End6.2
Second
999
#11
28.93.4
17.420.8
Auto8.9
Teleop12.4
End7.6
red by 18.0
6346
#36
10.90.1
14.214.3
Auto2.1
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Third
1099
#13
20.73.4
16.419.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End6.1
red by 10.5
1124
#28
10.20.1
12.612.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsMissed20%Activation oddsMissed