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Red90
574621.3
514219.8
17746.3
Blue72
23631.2
363415.9
919310.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604902040801001209072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#2
46.33.9
28.432.3
Auto8.5
Teleop28.9
End8.9
red by 15.1
236
#22
31.20.5
21.821.3
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End8.8
Second
21.33.9
11.215.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End6.7
red by 5.4
3634
#26
15.90.5
16.315.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
Third
5142
#19
19.83.9
15.119.0
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End8.4
red by 9.8
9193
#21
10.10.5
9.59.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsEarned21%Activation oddsMissed