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Red51
514219.8
58568.1
808543.3
Blue42
549418.2
816721.6
109920.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64610501001505142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.31.0
23.122.1
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End8.7
red by 21.7
8167
#15
21.61.7
18.516.8
Auto9.5
Teleop6.3
End5.8
Second
5142
#19
19.81.0
19.118.1
Auto4.2
Teleop7.3
End8.4
blue by 0.9
1099
#13
20.71.7
19.517.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End6.1
Third
5856
#35DQ
8.11.0
17.716.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.6
End3.4
blue by 10.1
5494
#17
18.21.7
19.517.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsMissed