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Red34
55816.8
1819.7
888923.1
Blue77
22811.1
816721.6
107121.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456020801003477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.0
16.315.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End4.4
red by 1.6
8167
#15
21.60.6
15.716.4
Auto9.5
Teleop6.3
End5.8
Second
558
#33
16.81.0
14.613.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End5.1
blue by 4.7
1071
#16
21.50.6
14.815.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End8.6
Third
181
#34
9.71.0
12.011.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End4.5
blue by 1.4
228
#38
11.10.6
20.821.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsMissed