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Red61
462810.8
271213.5
23631.2
Blue35
634610.9
83917.4
55816.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405002060801006135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#22
31.22.5
23.125.6
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End8.8
red by 13.8
839
#10
17.41.1
19.518.3
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End5.7
Second
2712
#25
13.52.5
12.915.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
blue by 3.3
558
#33
16.81.1
13.612.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End5.1
Third
4628
#27
10.82.5
2.65.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End4.2
blue by 0.2
6346
#36
10.91.1
12.211.0
Auto2.1
Teleop6.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
12%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed