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Red33
23731.6
462810.8
58568.1
Blue82
109920.7
71634.2
363415.9
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46720204060801001203382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#7
31.61.5
30.028.4
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End5.5
blue by 2.6
716
#4
34.21.4
29.731.1
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End7.6
Second
4628
#27
10.81.5
5.13.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End4.2
blue by 9.9
1099
#13
20.71.4
18.620.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End6.1
Third
5856
#35
8.11.5
11.710.2
Auto1.1
Teleop3.6
End3.4
blue by 7.8
3634
#26
15.91.4
15.917.3
Auto2.9
Teleop6.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned