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Red64
919310.1
346422.9
574621.3
Blue23
58568.1
112410.2
271213.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47340204060806423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#18
22.90.8
21.322.1
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End5.3
red by 9.4
2712
#25
13.51.1
12.010.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Second
21.30.8
12.313.1
Auto6.4
Teleop8.2
End6.7
red by 11.1
1124
#28
10.21.1
11.09.9
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End4.7
Third
9193
#21
10.10.8
8.49.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.7
End2.6
red by 2.0
5856
#35
8.11.1
10.29.1
Auto1.1
Teleop3.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
16%Activation oddsMissed8%Activation oddsMissed