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Red59
58568.1
199118.1
71634.2
Blue91
271213.5
17652.8
1819.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6566304050607080905991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#4
34.20.2
33.032.7
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End7.6
blue by 18.6
176
#1
52.81.5
45.046.5
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End9.4
Second
1991
#23
18.10.2
19.219.0
Auto6.9
Teleop6.2
End5.0
red by 4.6
2712
#25
13.51.5
10.912.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
Third
5856
#35
8.10.2
9.18.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.6
End3.4
blue by 1.6
181
#34
9.71.5
5.97.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
46%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned