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Red78
346422.9
921611.5
109920.7
Blue105
83917.4
17746.3
549418.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5175020406010012014078105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#18
22.90.7
22.122.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End5.3
blue by 23.4
177
#2
46.33.9
41.445.3
Auto8.5
Teleop28.9
End8.9
Second
1099
#13
20.70.7
20.621.3
Auto4.4
Teleop10.2
End6.1
red by 2.5
5494
#17
18.23.9
13.417.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Third
9216
#31
11.50.7
8.39.0
Auto1.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
blue by 5.9
839
#10
17.43.9
12.216.1
Auto3.6
Teleop8.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsEarned