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Red54
769415.7
271213.5
365427.3
Blue55
217021.4
549418.2
58568.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644020801005455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#12
27.30.3
26.526.8
Auto10.3
Teleop10.9
End6.2
red by 6.0
2170
#29
21.41.2
18.319.5
Auto1.7
Teleop13.0
End6.7
Second
7694
#20
15.70.3
12.713.0
Auto4.6
Teleop4.7
End6.3
blue by 2.6
5494
#17
18.21.1
16.617.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End6.2
Third
2712
#25
13.50.3
11.812.1
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End5.1
red by 5.4
5856
#35
8.11.1
7.78.8
Auto1.1
Teleop3.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed11%Activation oddsMissed