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Red91
206741.3
15519.8
549418.2
Blue82
1819.7
99928.9
206417.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8244020601001201401609182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.3
38.940.1
Auto12.9
Teleop20.8
End7.6
red by 12.4
999
#11
28.92.1
25.027.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.4
End7.6
Second
155
#30
19.81.2
15.316.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End7.1
red by 2.0
2064
#24
17.82.1
13.515.6
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End6.2
Third
5494
#17
18.21.2
17.718.8
Auto4.4
Teleop7.6
End6.2
red by 8.5
181
#34
9.72.1
7.39.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned22%Activation oddsEarned