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Red102
206417.8
888923.1
71634.2
Blue41
921611.5
23731.6
112410.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7558204010012014010241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#4
34.22.2
32.034.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End7.6
red by 2.6
237
#7
31.61.5
31.730.2
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End5.5
Second
23.12.4
20.222.6
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End4.4
red by 11.6
9216
#31
11.51.5
13.011.5
Auto1.4
Teleop6.2
End3.9
Third
2064
#24
17.82.2
15.617.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End6.2
red by 7.6
1124
#28
10.21.5
11.710.2
Auto1.5
Teleop4.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed