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Red98
17746.3
17652.8
786913.7
Blue124
808543.3
23045.3
107121.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124111608010014016018098124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
52.80.4
53.453.0
Auto14.9
Teleop28.6
End9.4
red by 7.5
230
#5
45.30.4
44.044.4
Auto13.2
Teleop25.4
End6.7
Second
177
#2
46.30.4
46.846.5
Auto8.5
Teleop28.9
End8.9
red by 3.0
43.30.4
42.042.4
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End8.7
Third
7869
#37
13.70.4
14.213.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End5.7
blue by 7.9
1071
#16
21.50.4
20.220.6
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End8.6