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Red97
217021.4
365427.3
346125.6
Blue89
15519.8
888923.1
23631.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77780501001502002509789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3654
#12
27.30.5
26.727.2
Auto10.3
Teleop10.9
End6.2
blue by 3.9
236
#22
31.20.4
30.931.2
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End8.8
Second
3461
#14
25.60.5
25.025.5
Auto8.5
Teleop9.8
End7.3
red by 2.5
23.10.4
22.723.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.8
End4.4
Third
2170
#29
21.40.6
20.621.2
Auto1.7
Teleop13.0
End6.7
red by 1.5
155
#30
19.80.4
19.519.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End7.1