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Red131
107121.5
23045.3
808543.3
Blue80
206417.8
206741.3
71634.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149940608014016018013180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
45.30.4
43.644.0
Auto13.2
Teleop25.4
End6.7
red by 4.0
41.30.4
41.741.4
Auto12.9
Teleop20.8
End7.6
Second
43.30.4
41.642.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.4
End8.7
red by 9.1
716
#4
34.20.3
34.534.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.6
End7.6
Third
1071
#16
21.50.4
19.820.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.1
End8.6
red by 3.7
2064
#24
17.80.3
18.217.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End6.2