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Red130
686829.4
817757.5
219952.8
Blue142
384755.4
64951.6
478831.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14812750100200250130142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#49
57.50.4
53.353.0
Auto12.9
Teleop35.1
End7.7
red by 2.1
55.41.4
52.153.4
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0
Second
2199
#39
52.80.4
51.751.3
Auto14.4
Teleop29.7
End7.9
red by 1.2
649
#17
51.61.4
46.848.2
Auto14.4
Teleop28.7
End7.0
Third
6868
#75
29.40.5
32.231.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End6.3
blue by 2.1
4788
#53
31.51.5
24.826.3
Auto6.8
Teleop20.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
85%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsEarned