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Red152
541454.7
34351.4
699545.8
Blue144
842649.6
177154.9
901629.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16113450100150200250152144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#10
54.70.3
52.452.7
Auto12.4
Teleop33.3
End8.3
blue by 0.2
1771
#16
54.90.7
54.254.8
Auto19.2
Teleop27.7
End7.2
Second
343
#25
51.40.3
51.451.7
Auto12.4
Teleop29.9
End8.8
red by 1.8
8426
#36
49.60.7
49.349.9
Auto13.2
Teleop26.1
End8.9
Third
6995
#24
45.80.3
45.846.1
Auto11.8
Teleop26.4
End6.1
red by 16.1
9016
#74
29.80.7
27.127.8
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned