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Red166
81856.5
175668.5
352623.0
Blue145
219952.8
915315.3
186859.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152129100200166145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.51.8
65.567.2
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
red by 9.2
1868
#60
59.30.7
56.857.6
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End9.5
Second
818
#21
56.51.8
53.655.3
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
red by 3.6
2199
#39
52.80.7
52.353.0
Auto14.4
Teleop29.7
End7.9
Third
3526
#29
23.01.8
21.423.2
Auto3.9
Teleop16.1
End3.5
red by 7.7
9153
#71
15.30.7
15.316.0
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned