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Red127
300832.7
439247.9
753423.5
Blue111
84028.8
873930.1
44951.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10211950150200127111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#61
47.91.6
44.345.9
Auto13.1
Teleop27.6
End6.9
blue by 3.9
449
#18
51.80.1
51.551.6
Auto13.4
Teleop30.0
End7.9
Second
3008
#51
32.71.6
31.232.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
red by 2.6
8739
#33
30.10.1
29.129.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End6.4
Third
7534
#70
23.51.6
22.223.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End6.7
blue by 5.2
840
#76
28.80.1
28.828.9
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
29%Sustainability oddsMissed27%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned