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Red168
425354.3
804654.7
384755.4
Blue161
901629.8
756543.0
427058.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17312650100150200250168161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.40.7
54.555.3
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0
blue by 3.5
4270
#23
58.92.5
55.357.8
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
Second
54.70.7
54.255.0
Auto14.1
Teleop30.0
End9.6
red by 11.7
7565
#40
43.02.5
40.543.0
Auto11.6
Teleop25.9
End5.6
Third
4253
#22
54.30.7
53.554.2
Auto13.5
Teleop29.7
End9.6
red by 24.5
9016
#74
29.82.5
27.830.3
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned