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Red101
753423.5
686829.4
34351.4
Blue152
11553.1
18057.7
664731.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10515650200101152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#25
51.40.3
51.751.4
Auto12.4
Teleop29.9
End8.8
blue by 6.3
180
#28
57.70.8
57.258.0
Auto16.7
Teleop32.7
End8.1
Second
6868
#75
29.40.3
29.729.4
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End6.3
blue by 23.7
115
#13
53.10.8
52.353.1
Auto13.1
Teleop31.9
End7.6
Third
7534
#70
23.50.3
23.823.5
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End6.7
blue by 8.0
6647
#57
31.60.8
30.831.6
Auto8.9
Teleop15.8
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed59%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed95%Activation oddsEarned