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Red145
34351.4
427058.9
921925.7
Blue123
439247.9
361642.6
328431.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112880100120160180145123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4270
#23
58.91.0
54.955.9
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
red by 11.0
4392
#61
47.90.1
42.242.3
Auto13.1
Teleop27.6
End6.9
Second
343
#25
51.41.0
50.451.4
Auto12.4
Teleop29.9
End8.8
red by 8.8
3616
#43
42.60.1
43.443.5
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End8.7
Third
9219
#67
25.71.2
25.026.2
Auto7.4
Teleop13.9
End4.8
blue by 6.0
3284
#64
31.60.1
36.236.3
Auto8.2
Teleop17.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned