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Red123
473859.8
400351.6
915315.3
Blue85
313239.3
789058.2
753423.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1231258010014016012385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.5
49.349.8
Auto14.5
Teleop38.5
End6.6
red by 1.6
7890
#44
58.22.4
59.557.1
Auto15.8
Teleop31.6
End8.7
Second
4003
#41
51.60.5
50.250.7
Auto14.4
Teleop30.9
End5.2
red by 12.3
3132
#32
39.32.4
37.635.1
Auto12.4
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Third
9153
#71
15.30.5
16.416.9
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End4.0
blue by 8.2
7534
#70
23.52.4
19.617.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned30%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsMissed97%Activation oddsMissed