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Red131
704229.9
699545.8
32555.6
Blue73
263736.0
635825.7
901912.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14360010020013173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#19
55.60.5
50.050.5
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
red by 19.6
2637
#72
36.00.4
31.031.4
Auto7.3
Teleop20.9
End7.7
Second
6995
#24
45.80.5
46.446.9
Auto11.8
Teleop26.4
End6.1
red by 20.1
6358
#58
25.70.4
22.422.8
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End8.1
Third
7042
#47
29.90.5
27.628.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End6.7
red by 17.4
9019
#78
12.40.4
12.913.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned