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Red146
331061.0
84028.8
425354.3
Blue149
81856.5
921925.7
33346.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16413050100150200250146149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.2
64.664.3
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
red by 4.5
818
#21
56.51.5
54.255.7
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
Second
4253
#22
54.30.2
58.758.5
Auto13.5
Teleop29.7
End9.6
red by 7.7
333
#37
46.51.5
46.548.0
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.9
Third
840
#76
28.80.2
28.228.0
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End5.2
red by 3.1
9219
#67
25.71.5
26.327.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned