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Red91
901912.4
699822.6
572760.0
Blue120
44951.8
11553.1
915315.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8813005010015020091120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#11
60.00.2
51.852.0
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
red by 6.9
115
#13
53.10.2
49.849.6
Auto13.1
Teleop31.9
End7.6
Second
6998
#30
22.60.2
22.422.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End6.0
blue by 29.2
449
#18
51.80.2
49.849.6
Auto13.4
Teleop30.0
End7.9
Third
9019
#78
12.40.2
13.914.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End3.1
blue by 2.9
9153
#71
15.30.2
17.917.8
Auto1.6
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
51%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsMissed