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Red162
901537.1
384755.4
400351.6
Blue143
641336.3
81856.5
439247.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147148120130140160170180162143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.41.1
54.855.9
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0
blue by 1.0
818
#21
56.50.3
55.755.4
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
Second
4003
#41
51.61.1
50.952.0
Auto14.4
Teleop30.9
End5.2
red by 3.7
4392
#61
47.90.3
44.944.6
Auto13.1
Teleop27.6
End6.9
Third
9015
#48
37.11.1
35.236.3
Auto11.4
Teleop18.0
End7.9
red by 0.8
6413
#66
36.30.3
39.338.9
Auto10.9
Teleop18.3
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned