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Red117
300832.7
352623.0
11553.1
Blue159
427058.9
399054.4
916825.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9613950150200117159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#13
53.11.5
49.651.1
Auto13.1
Teleop31.9
End7.6
blue by 5.8
4270
#23
58.92.3
57.359.6
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
Second
3008
#51
32.71.5
26.828.2
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End6.4
blue by 21.7
3990
#12
54.42.3
50.252.5
Auto15.2
Teleop30.3
End8.2
Third
3526
#29
23.01.5
18.620.1
Auto3.9
Teleop16.1
End3.5
blue by 2.1
9168
#69
25.12.3
17.619.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned