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Red134
871123.7
110052.6
30260.6
Blue138
699822.6
11553.1
632977.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291436080100120160180200220134138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#14
60.60.8
58.058.7
Auto13.1
Teleop34.4
End10.9
blue by 16.8
77.40.0
66.366.3
Auto17.5
Teleop46.5
End10.2
Second
1100
#34
52.60.8
49.850.5
Auto14.0
Teleop28.4
End9.4
blue by 0.5
115
#13
53.10.0
48.948.9
Auto13.1
Teleop31.9
End7.6
Third
8711
#68
23.70.8
15.115.9
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
red by 1.1
6998
#30
22.60.0
18.818.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsEarned