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Red152
699822.6
175668.5
722047.0
Blue148
635825.7
331061.0
81856.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13016050100200250152148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.51.1
60.761.7
Auto15.5
Teleop42.2
End8.4
red by 7.5
61.00.1
63.863.9
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
Second
47.01.1
43.244.3
Auto12.7
Teleop26.0
End7.8
blue by 9.4
818
#21
56.50.1
55.455.5
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
Third
6998
#30
22.61.1
22.523.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End6.0
blue by 3.1
6358
#58
25.70.1
27.427.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
56%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned