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Red154
804654.7
635825.7
572760.0
Blue146
34351.4
81856.5
110052.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13816650100150200250154146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#11
60.01.1
54.455.5
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
red by 3.5
818
#21
56.50.4
55.555.1
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
Second
54.71.1
51.052.1
Auto14.1
Teleop30.0
End9.6
red by 2.2
1100
#34
52.60.4
48.848.3
Auto14.0
Teleop28.4
End9.4
Third
6358
#58
25.71.1
27.528.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.6
End8.1
blue by 25.7
343
#25
51.40.4
50.950.5
Auto12.4
Teleop29.9
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
88%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned