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Red101
916825.1
361642.6
478831.5
Blue153
871123.7
401052.7
140357.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89133050100150200101153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#43
42.60.8
42.643.4
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End8.7
blue by 15.3
1403
#26
57.91.9
54.956.8
Auto11.1
Teleop36.1
End8.4
Second
4788
#53
31.50.8
27.728.5
Auto6.8
Teleop20.6
End4.0
blue by 21.1
4010
#27
52.71.9
46.948.8
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
Third
9168
#69
25.10.8
18.719.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.1
End5.5
red by 1.5
8711
#68
23.71.9
17.719.6
Auto9.7
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned