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Red159
804654.7
568757.9
177154.9
Blue102
665218.1
186859.3
279146.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16811350100150200159102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5687
#20
57.90.6
55.956.5
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
blue by 1.4
1868
#60
59.31.0
57.156.0
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End9.5
Second
1771
#16
54.90.6
52.252.7
Auto19.2
Teleop27.7
End7.2
red by 8.2
2791
#63
46.71.0
45.744.6
Auto13.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
Third
54.70.6
48.649.2
Auto14.1
Teleop30.0
End9.6
red by 36.6
6652
#59
18.11.2
10.08.8
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed