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Red114
81856.5
901629.8
634835.8
Blue173
32555.6
279146.7
14866.4
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12317550100150200114173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#21
56.50.5
55.154.6
Auto15.8
Teleop31.9
End6.9
blue by 9.9
148
#7
66.41.0
63.564.5
Auto12.6
Teleop42.5
End9.4
Second
6348
#42
35.80.5
36.435.8
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End9.0
blue by 19.8
325
#19
55.61.0
54.555.5
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Third
9016
#74
29.80.5
30.329.8
Auto10.3
Teleop16.1
End3.6
blue by 16.9
2791
#63
46.71.0
45.746.7
Auto13.6
Teleop27.3
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsEarned92%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned