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Red160
568757.9
572760.0
804654.7
Blue149
425354.3
245152.9
331061.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179171140160200160149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5727
#11
60.00.2
59.859.7
Auto15.3
Teleop37.5
End7.1
blue by 1.0
61.00.3
61.060.7
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End7.7
Second
5687
#20
57.90.2
57.757.5
Auto16.2
Teleop34.1
End5.5
red by 3.6
4253
#22
54.30.3
54.254.0
Auto13.5
Teleop29.7
End9.6
Third
54.70.2
55.054.8
Auto14.1
Teleop30.0
End9.6
red by 1.8
2451
#54
52.90.3
53.252.9
Auto9.4
Teleop33.3
End8.4