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Red193
427058.9
401052.7
473859.8
Blue150
32555.6
384755.4
44951.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180167120140200220240260193150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.6
58.659.2
Auto14.5
Teleop38.5
End6.6
red by 4.1
325
#19
55.60.3
55.555.2
Auto15.2
Teleop32.2
End7.2
Second
4270
#23
58.90.6
57.858.4
Auto11.4
Teleop36.0
End11.2
red by 3.5
55.40.3
55.355.0
Auto13.2
Teleop33.9
End7.0
Third
4010
#27
52.70.6
51.552.1
Auto13.1
Teleop30.3
End9.4
red by 0.8
449
#18
51.80.3
52.151.8
Auto13.4
Teleop30.0
End7.9