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Red124
12567.8
171039.6
928030.3
Blue129
420156.7
113841.3
928733.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14310250200124129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#25
67.80.4
61.961.5
Auto17.4
Teleop37.7
End10.9
red by 11.1
56.71.9
47.749.5
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End7.9
Second
1710
#70
39.60.4
40.139.7
Auto10.6
Teleop24.1
End5.3
blue by 1.7
1138
#30
41.31.9
27.729.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.3
End8.6
Third
9280
#72
30.30.4
27.427.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 2.8
9287
#54
33.11.9
25.627.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsEarned23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned