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Red169
540657.0
266730.5
69564.8
Blue182
276768.2
571255.5
392839.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154171050100200250300350169182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#16
64.80.5
63.463.9
Auto14.6
Teleop40.4
End7.1
blue by 3.4
68.20.2
68.068.3
Auto19.0
Teleop39.9
End8.1
Second
5406
#40
57.00.5
56.857.3
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End8.2
red by 1.5
5712
#50
55.50.2
54.354.6
Auto14.0
Teleop32.8
End7.0
Third
2667
#57
30.50.5
29.830.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End5.7
blue by 8.5
3928
#45
39.00.2
36.036.3
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
92%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned