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Red153
113841.3
521654.2
87058.8
Blue130
929338.7
2052.5
387534.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16612750100150200250300153130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#24
58.80.2
54.654.4
Auto14.6
Teleop34.4
End9.3
red by 6.2
20
#19
52.50.4
52.052.4
Auto13.7
Teleop29.9
End8.7
Second
5216
#18
54.20.2
57.056.8
Auto12.0
Teleop30.3
End10.2
red by 15.5
9293
#56
38.70.4
38.739.1
Auto9.8
Teleop22.8
End6.2
Third
1138
#30
41.30.2
39.839.6
Auto8.8
Teleop24.3
End8.6
red by 6.4
3875
#77
34.90.4
33.333.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
86%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned