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Red111
420660.1
352715.4
928030.3
Blue141
422631.2
461357.0
572444.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10414550200111141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.10.5
58.358.9
Auto12.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
red by 3.1
4613
#31
57.00.1
55.054.9
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End6.9
Second
9280
#72
30.30.5
29.830.3
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 14.1
5724
#53
44.40.1
44.544.4
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End6.7
Third
3527
#76
15.40.5
14.815.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 15.8
4226
#60
31.20.1
31.331.2
Auto9.0
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed