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Red110
286928.1
387534.9
308232.8
Blue178
642462.5
192247.3
420156.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85184050100150200250110178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#77
34.91.2
33.734.9
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End6.5
blue by 27.6
6424
#12
62.50.8
61.762.5
Auto16.8
Teleop35.5
End8.1
Second
3082
#68
32.81.2
31.732.8
Auto8.1
Teleop16.3
End8.4
blue by 23.9
56.70.8
56.957.7
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End7.9
Third
2869
#58
28.11.2
27.028.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.8
End7.3
blue by 19.2
1922
#14
47.30.8
46.547.3
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned