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Red157
427260.6
12567.8
913647.6
Blue174
490760.7
546065.5
192247.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16217750100150200250300157174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#25
67.80.2
61.561.7
Auto17.4
Teleop37.7
End10.9
red by 2.3
65.50.3
55.255.6
Auto14.5
Teleop42.1
End7.3
Second
4272
#42
60.60.2
53.053.2
Auto15.6
Teleop36.0
End7.4
blue by 0.2
4907
#35
60.70.3
64.164.4
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Third
9136
#27
47.60.2
41.942.1
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End9.3
red by 0.3
1922
#14
47.30.3
47.147.4
Auto11.2
Teleop28.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned99%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned