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Red136
132571.7
542225.3
113841.3
Blue164
572444.4
547266.5
420660.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11517150100150200136164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#26
71.71.1
68.269.3
Auto19.1
Teleop40.6
End9.5
red by 5.2
66.50.7
61.161.9
Auto14.2
Teleop41.7
End8.4
Second
1138
#30
41.31.1
29.630.7
Auto8.8
Teleop24.3
End8.6
blue by 18.8
60.10.7
51.251.9
Auto12.1
Teleop38.7
End8.8
Third
5422
#66
25.31.1
16.918.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.8
End6.9
blue by 19.1
5724
#53
44.40.7
46.246.9
Auto10.7
Teleop26.0
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
58%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned