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Red149
341448.0
265960.9
392839.0
Blue114
288352.6
387534.9
900037.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14311750100200149114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.91.2
48.349.5
Auto14.2
Teleop37.0
End8.5
red by 8.3
2883
#47
52.60.1
51.551.6
Auto14.4
Teleop28.6
End7.7
Second
3414
#33
48.01.2
46.948.1
Auto14.0
Teleop26.5
End6.7
red by 10.2
9000
#37
37.80.1
33.833.8
Auto11.3
Teleop17.5
End9.5
Third
3928
#45
39.01.2
35.937.1
Auto12.0
Teleop20.3
End7.4
red by 4.1
3875
#77
34.90.1
27.427.4
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned