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Red188
427260.6
10038.5
23062.2
Blue195
173170.0
420156.7
494663.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153174100200250188195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#22
62.22.4
63.465.8
Auto16.0
Teleop36.0
End8.1
blue by 7.8
70.02.3
59.862.1
Auto17.9
Teleop41.0
End8.5
Second
4272
#42
60.62.4
53.255.7
Auto15.6
Teleop36.0
End7.4
blue by 3.2
4946
#13
63.72.3
60.162.4
Auto15.7
Teleop37.5
End8.7
Third
100
#74
38.52.4
34.837.2
Auto12.8
Teleop17.9
End7.0
blue by 18.2
56.72.3
49.051.3
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned86%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned