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Red176
276768.2
271355.7
205458.8
Blue140
387534.9
132571.7
409123.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186102050150200250300176140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.20.9
66.165.2
Auto19.0
Teleop39.9
End8.1
blue by 3.5
1325
#26
71.72.2
69.371.5
Auto19.1
Teleop40.6
End9.5
Second
58.80.9
56.055.1
Auto13.6
Teleop35.5
End6.4
red by 23.9
3875
#77
34.92.2
27.429.7
Auto10.3
Teleop17.9
End6.5
Third
2713
#11
55.70.9
49.148.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.4
End9.4
red by 32.3
4091
#64DQ
23.32.2
9.611.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
96%Sustainability oddsEarned50%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
97%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned