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Red104
352715.4
259051.1
236367.4
Blue156
364759.4
490760.7
341448.0
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13018350100150200250104156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#17
67.41.6
63.962.3
Auto14.6
Teleop41.7
End8.2
red by 6.7
4907
#35
60.70.6
64.463.8
Auto14.9
Teleop36.3
End7.8
Second
2590
#48
51.11.6
50.148.5
Auto12.9
Teleop31.2
End6.5
blue by 8.3
3647
#21
59.40.6
58.457.8
Auto16.7
Teleop35.0
End6.5
Third
3527
#76
15.41.6
14.913.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End3.2
blue by 32.6
3414
#33
48.00.6
48.147.5
Auto14.0
Teleop26.5
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsMissed97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsEarned