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Red139
233337.7
521654.2
265960.9
Blue162
547266.5
420156.7
266730.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144146120130140150160170180139162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.90.2
50.951.1
Auto14.2
Teleop37.0
End8.5
blue by 5.6
66.51.7
63.465.1
Auto14.2
Teleop41.7
End8.4
Second
5216
#18
54.20.2
54.754.8
Auto12.0
Teleop30.3
End10.2
blue by 2.5
56.71.7
51.353.0
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End7.9
Third
2333
#65
37.70.2
35.535.7
Auto10.5
Teleop21.9
End5.1
red by 7.2
2667
#57
30.51.7
24.025.7
Auto9.0
Teleop16.2
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned