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Red150
928733.1
147756.8
207350.2
Blue119
339027.7
571255.5
248635.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14012980100120160180200150119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#41
56.81.3
53.554.8
Auto14.0
Teleop36.9
End4.4
red by 1.2
5712
#50
55.50.3
59.659.4
Auto14.0
Teleop32.8
End7.0
Second
2073
#28
50.21.3
48.249.5
Auto14.3
Teleop29.0
End6.7
red by 15.2
2486
#67
35.00.3
36.336.1
Auto10.0
Teleop18.3
End7.2
Third
9287
#54
33.11.3
28.830.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.0
End8.8
red by 5.3
3390
#78
27.70.3
26.826.6
Auto7.3
Teleop14.2
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed