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Red135
698927.9
547266.5
271355.7
Blue170
422631.2
540657.0
420156.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491380100200300400500135170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.50.2
65.565.3
Auto14.2
Teleop41.7
End8.4
red by 9.5
5406
#40
57.02.6
54.857.4
Auto15.1
Teleop32.6
End8.2
Second
2713
#11
55.70.2
51.150.9
Auto11.8
Teleop33.4
End9.4
blue by 1.1
56.72.6
53.055.6
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End7.9
Third
6989
#69
27.90.2
23.223.0
Auto7.0
Teleop14.6
End6.7
blue by 3.3
4226
#60
31.22.6
24.727.3
Auto9.0
Teleop17.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned74%Activation oddsEarned